WeIs Roundtable Week 4 Picks: Contender or Pretender Edition

An exciting week of matchups, with a number of contests that should begin to prove whether teams are legit or masquerading as impostors.  Teams like Arkansas and West Virginia would vault into national championship discussion with wins, but even a well-played game and a close score will do wonders for the perception of the program.  This figures to be a fun channel flipping week.  Enjoy the picks.

Miami (-3) @ Pittsburgh

Dan:  Miami (-3)

Wow. What a miserable week last week in my picks. Thank goodness the NFL has been kind to my sportsbook.com account.  Lesson – gamble against my picks, win money. As for this pick – I like Miami to bounce back after a nightmare performance against Ohio State. They have had a week off to prepare for Pitt. The Panthers are dealing with suspensions, injuries, and an underperforming Dion Lewis. I expect a close game with Miami pulling out the cover.

Miami 28 Pitt 24

Jeremy:  Miami (-3)

I don’t know if either of these teams are any good.  Pitt’s looked mediocre at best thus far, and Miami fell flat on their collective faces in Columbus a few weeks back.  I guess I’m just going to have to be lazy and pick the team with more “athletes” and “speed” on defense (hire me ESPN!).  Randy Shannon slows down the Dion Lewis train and the Canes get a big win on the road.

Miami 24  Pitt 20

Jimmy: Miami (-3)

The Hurricanes are still licking their wounds from the beatdown in Columbus.  Randy Shannon is certainly road testing his young team.  I think Miami responds well and controls Dion Lewis enough to emerge from Heinz Field victorious.  Betting against a Thursday night home team is a recipe for disaster, but when Dave Wannstedt is involved, all normal rules of thumb are tossed out the window. 

Miami  27  Pitt 17

Matt:  Pitt (+3)

I’ve gotten burned so many times in the last two years picking Miami in this weekly column that I feel like I should write to Randy Shannon and ask for a personal refund for all of the money I’ve misguidedly placed on the Canes.  You know, if gambling were legal.  Let’s just say that Miami’s performance against OSU, and more particularly Jacory Harris’ performance, did not inspire confidence in me for the rest of the season.

Has there been a ‘team’ started yet for guys who are continuously overhyped but fail to deliver any meaningful results?  Like the Jess Settles All-Stars for the guys who have been in college forever or the Reggie Cleveland All-Stars for white guys with black sounding names?  Well, Jake Locker and Jacory Harris are doing their best to be the namesake for this group of players that have yet to convert the hype to results.  I’m sure Jacory Harris is a great guy, but he really hasn’t produced anything in any meaningful games.  Much like Mr. Locker in the Pacific Northwest who somehow is ranked as the #1 NFL pick.  I mean, did anyone watch that game against Nebraska?  4 for 20?  As Mugatu would say, I feel like I’m taking crazy pills.

As for this game, Miami has the advantage in special teams, as proven against tOSU.  Coaching is dead even at below average.  The loss of Greg Romeus concerns me a little bit for the Pitt D, but I think they’ll be able to overcome it.  With the game being in Pittsburgh in front of what I presume will be a rabid crowd given the Thursday night timeslot and Canes lofty ranking and reputation, I think Pitt will win.  Losing at Utah in OT is nothing to be ashamed of, and this Pitt team still feels like a Top 20 team by season’s end.

Pitt 21 U 17

Mike:  Miami (-3)  LOCK OF THE WEEK

As evidenced by Miami’s performance at Ohio State, the Canes have not regained their spot among the nation’s elite.  Still, Miami has enough talent to beat a mediocre Pittsburgh team, even on the road.  With an extra week to prepare, Miami OC Mark Whipple should be able to devise a plan that will allow Jacory Harris to exploit a weak Pittsburgh secondary.  In addition, Pittsburgh’s defensive line, which was its major strength on defense, will be forced to play without the services of Greg Romeus, who is out for the season with an injury.  On the bright side for Pitt, being mediocre might be enough to bring home a Big East title.

Miami 31 Pittsburgh 20

Alabama (-7.5) @ Arkansas

Dan:  Arkansas (+7.5)

This is going to be the toughest defense Ryan Mallett has faced or will face all year.  Last year, Bama abused the Razorbacks to the tune of a 35-7 thrashing. Arkansas looks like a much improved team this year. Mallett has continued to improve his accuracy and his understanding of the offense. Bama should control the line of scrimmage, but I think Arkansas will have a couple big plays to keep it just close enough to get the cover.

Alabama 31 Arkansas 24

Jeremy:  Alabama (-7.5)

I know Arkansas has looked pretty good so far this year, and I fully expect to see at least one of my compatriots pick the upset outright here, but I’m not going to be betting against Saban, even on the road, and even with Ryan Mallett on the other side of the field.  Saban finds a way to fluster the big oaf and Bama reasserts their dominance in the SEC West.

Alabama 30  Arkansas 17

Jimmy: Alabama (-7.5)  LOCK OF THE WEEK

Until proven otherwise, Bama looks like they’re out to quell any doubt that a repeat is their sole mission.  I would love to see this be a shootout with Ryan Mallett leading another late-charge victory.  But Bama’s defense will be a different beast than the Razorback offense has encountered.  And pretty sure Saban will control the ball, milking time of possession with his 3-headed rushing attack.  Arkansas could prove to be a very good team before the season is over, but this is their first reality check and I don’t see it ending well.

Alabama  34  Arkansas  21

Matt:  Alabama (-7.5)

I watched all of the Arkansas-Georgia game, and came away a little underwhelmed with Arkansas.  Sure they won the game in a tough road environment, but their offense was nonexistent for the entirety of the second half until the last drive with a minute left.  Then, it’s like Mallett flipped on a switch and went down the field to end the game.  The problem is, that was Georgia, and this is Alabama.  You can’t take entire halves off or expect to just flip a switch against a Saban-coached team.

It just feels like to me that Saban is going to do everything to make Mallett uncomfortable and force the Hogs to have to run the ball.  In other words, totally dictate the tempo and play-calling for Arkansas.  Ryan Mallett may be playing better than he was last year, but he was still pretty darned good last year.  And the Tide held him to 12-35 for 160 yards.  Yikes.  I know Bama has lost some playmakers off that side of the ball, but I think that the hype for this game and for Arkansas has grown a little excessive.  Bama rolls.

Alabama 35 Arkansas 17

Mike:  Arkansas (+7.5)

Alabama’s retooled defense has been dominant thus far, but they will face their first true test this week against Arkansas’ offense, which was as good as advertised against Georgia.  More importantly, the Razorbacks looked much more competent on defense than in prior years (which, admittedly, isn’t saying much).  The Arkansas coaching staff also deserves a great deal of credit for preparing the Hogs for a trap game against a talented opponent.  Arkansas should play to the best of their ability this week before a frenzied crowd in Fayetteville, but, against this Crimson Tide team, it will not be enough.  In a game that has all the makings of a classic, Alabama will survive on the road.

Alabama 30 Arkansas 27

West Virginia (+8) @ LSU

Dan:  West Virginia (+8)

LSU’s defense should control the trenches and be able to slow down Geno Smith and the WVU offense. But I still have no faith in the LSU offense despite last week’s poor pick against LSU. But that was still primarily all field goals. Look for a low scoring game that makes the 8 points a decent pick.

LSU 16 WVU 10

Jeremy:  West Virginia (+8)

I hate this pick.  There’s no reason for me to believe that a Big East team can go down into Death Valley and beat the Tigers.  But there’s something foul afoot in Baton Rouge, and this could very well be Les Miles’ farewell tour.  Geno Smith has looked pretty impressive thus far under center for the Moutaineers, and Noel Devine can provide some explosiveness for the offense.  The Mountaineer defense has been pretty stout against the run so far this year, and LSU hasn’t had consistent QB play in years.  Can’t believe I’m doing it, but I’m picking WVU to win this game outright.

WVU 27  LSU 24

Jimmy:  LSU (-8)

The Mountaineers showed a ton of moxie in their furious 4^th quarter rally to beat Marshall.  You’re thinking – “yeah…Marshall.  Not exactly LSU in the Valley of Death.”  And you would be right.  But a team either has that ability or it doesn’t.  I was going to go with West Virginia to cover, but a night matchup in the Bayou screams for LSU to assert themselves defensively and figure out a way to string a few scoring drives together.  Giving up 10 points combined to two SEC opponents the last two weeks tells me that LSU is hungry to put the near-death experience vs. North Carolina in the rearview mirror. 

LSU 29  West Virginia 17

Matt:  West Virginia (+8)

This spread seems a little bit high to me.  In fact, I seriously considered predicting the ‘Neers to flat out win this game.  But in the end, too much crowd, too much Tiger defense and too much Bill Stewart lead to a close win for the home team.  Interesting to see the battle between the QB’s in this one, as Geno Smith in three starts has already looked better than Jordan Jefferson ever has. 

LSU 24 West Virginia 21

Mike:  West Virginia (+8)

This is a difficult game to pick because both programs, though talented, are led by flaky coaches whose teams are prone to wildly inconsistent play.  West Virginia’s offense is starting to click under QB Geno Smith and the Mountaineers’ stable of speedy backs and receivers, but they will be tested this week by a strong LSU defense.  By contrast, LSU has sputtered badly on offense this year, especially in the passing game, so West Virginia should have an opportunity to win this game late.  In fact, I will call for an outright upset, which will set off an angry riot in Baton Rouge (and a happy riot in Morgantown).  Memo to fans:  stock up on gasoline and matches now, while supplies last.

West Virginia 22 LSU 20

South Carolina (+3) @ Auburn

Dan:  South Carolina (+3)

Underdog week! Auburn was kind to me the last couple weeks before stabbing me in the back against Clemson. Auburn is coming off 2 extremely physical tough games over the past 2 weeks. I like South Carolina’s defense to keep this close and to control the tempo of the game. In fact, I think the tough last couple weeks will catch up with Auburn and they will slip up while the Gamecocks take one on the road.

South Carolina 21 Auburn 20

Jeremy:  Auburn (-3)

Sorry Ball Coach, just can’t do it.  Lattimore and Garcia have been a lethal combination thus far, but the Auburn D steps up in a large way in front of the home crowd.  Cam Newton has a breakout game and the War Eagle gets a big win at Jordan Hare.

Auburn 27  South Carolina 23

Jimmy:  Auburn (-3)

Maybe I should learn my lesson for picking Auburn last week (they didn’t cover), but that was one terrific game.  Clemson impressed with their athleticism and relentless attitude, serving as terrific preparation for the Tigers, provided they’re not too beat up.  South Carolina will provide another tough test.  The Gamecocks may very well be a solid team that could play spoiler in the weeks ahead (Alabama next week at home, Arkansas and Florida will all face a stiff challenge).  But this is Spurrier’s first road game after beating Southern Miss, a downtrodden Georgia team, and I-AA Furman last week.  Auburn, meanwhile, already has an SEC road win to their credit, and a win over a legit top 25 team in Clemson.  Who is more prepared to win this week?  War Eagle.  The ‘Cocks haven’t seen a weapon the likes of Cameron Newton.  Add in the fact that they may be guilty of looking ahead to next week’s circus with the #1 team in America coming to their home.  Gene Chizik should have Auburn 6-0 when they welcome Arkansas to campus for another big showdown.      

Auburn 26  South Carolina  17

Matt:  South Carolina (+3)

Do you all remember my preseason prediction of my deep sleeper team for this year?  No?  Well, it was South Carolina, and here we are with the Gamecocks having risen all the way to the edge of the Top 10.  With Florida looking shaky early on, UGA and UT being down, the East is right there for the taking. 

I am willing to look past last week’s lackadaisical defensive effort against 1-AA Furman, and instead focus on the talent at RB and WR for the offense.  Marcus Lattimore and Alshon Jeffery are studs.  This is not your father’s (maybe older brother’s is a better reference) South Carolina team that stinks on offense.  Spurrier has the offense humming along, and I think they will be able to move it and score points against a stout Auburn defense. 

Marion Fannin is expected back for the Tigers, and Cam Newton has proven to be a dual threat QB.  However, he is a little bit of a work in progress and his running is slightly ahead of his passing right now.  Look for the USC defense to try to take away his runs and force him to be more of a passer.  Close one, but I’m going to go with my gut and my preseason prediction and pick the Ol’ Ball Coach to get a W.

USC 23 Auburn 20

Mike:  Auburn (-3)

After having played two close games, including last week’s bloodbath, it will be difficult for Auburn to rise to the occasion again this week against a talented Gamecock team that has its collective sights set on the SEC East crown.  South Carolina has the weaponry on offense and defense to win this contest against a wounded Auburn team, but I refuse to pick the Gamecocks for one reason:  I don’t trust Stephen Garcia on the road in a big game.  Auburn will capitalize on Garcia’s mistakes to earn another huge win this week.

Auburn 24 South Carolina 20

Oregon State (+17) @ Boise State

Dan:  Oregon State (+17)  LOCK OF THE WEEK

Oregon State’s defense sucks. But I believe in the Rodgers boys. I also believe that Boise State hasn’t beaten anyone yet (despite the win against V. Tech). I am generally a Boise State Believer, and they should control this game, but this line is way too high.

Boise State 34 Oregon State 21

Jeremy:  Oregon State (+17)  LOCK OF THE WEEK

Too many points.  Plain and simple. 

I still can’t figure out how I feel about Va Tech’s collapse and its impact on Boise’s march to the title game.  On the one hand, Boise in the title game might cause the BCS to blow up.  On the other, who wants to watch Boise in the title game over someone like Bama, OSU or Oregon? 

The Rodgers brothers keep this one interesting for 3 quarters or so, but Boise pulls away late.  As an added bonus, TCU’s BCS status takes a big hit with another loss by Oregon St.

Boise St. 34  Oregon St. 24

Jimmy:  Oregon State (+17)

No way this is a blowout.  The Beavers have had this date circled all preseason.  They would love nothing better than to avenge their TCU loss by knocking off America’s darling on the Smurf Turf.  The Broncos defensive unit hasn’t encountered a dynamic tandem like the Rodgers twins, who will keep the Beavers alive in this scoring frenzy.  If Andy Dalton scored 30 points on Oregon State, Kellen Moore might light them up for 50.  With Heisman contenders on both sides, there will be some wacky, highlight-reel, momentum-turning plays (look for James Rodgers to explode with a monster performance).  I’m fully on board the Boise bandwagon, but 17 points is an awfully generous margin. 

Boise State 48  Oregon State 35

Unofficial James Rodgers Heisman Candidacy Update:

Last Week: 3 rec - 27 yards; 2 rush - 12 yards; 4 KR - 161 yards; 2 PR - 43 yards; 243 Total Yards, 0 TD

Season: 7 rec - 102 yards, 1 TD;   4 rush - 20 yards; 9 KR - 275 yards; 7 PR - 56 yards; 453 Total Yards, 1 TD (2 games)

Matt:  Boise State (-17)   LOCK OF THE WEEK

Boise knows this is its last real shot to make an impression on all of the voters.  Sure, Nevada has a nice win over Cal and Fresno State over UC, but ultimately beating those two teams is not going to move the meter in their quest to make it to the title game.  

This week, with College Gameday in the house and a national television audience including the one and only Brent Musburger waxing poetically, they can really get back some momentum after VT’s flameout.   I was overly impressed with Boise’s line play on both sides against the Hokies, and don’t think they’ll have any problem slowing down Jacquizz, much as they did to Ryan Williams.  Kellen Moore should have a field day throwing to Pettis and Young.

Boise State 48 Oregon State 20

Mike:  Oregon State (+17)

Boise State has been virtually unbeatable at home over the past decade and, from a gambling perspective, the Broncos have been the most reliable home favorite in college football during this time.  With Boise needing style points to impress the pollsters, it will be a struggle for the oddsmakers to set lines that are high enough to attract bettors to the underdog, particularly for games on the blue turf.  Having said that, I believe that Oregon State’s offense will start to hit its stride this week, thus allowing the Beavers to earn a close cover in this game. 

Boise State 41 Oregon State 27

Bonus Picks

Dan:  Central Michigan @ Northwestern (-6.5)

Both teams are 3-0 in their own way. Northwestern is 3-0 on the field, but Central Michigan is 3 – 0 against the spread. Unfortunately for Chippewas, their 2-1 real record includes a loss at Temple. Now, I know Temple is a decent team. But I like Pat Fitzgerald and the things he is doing in Evanston. And I like them to win at home on Saturday with a cover.

Northwestern 31 Central Michigan 17

Jeremy:  Oregon (-10.5) @ Arizona State

I don’t care that the spread is huge.  I don’t care that the game is on the road.  The Ducks are LEGIT.  Its amazing to watch the Chip Kelly offense work.  Lose Jeremiah Masoli?  No big deal.  He can just plug any QB or any RB into that system and it will keep chugging along.  I think many Irish fans would probably prefer that Brian adopt some of Chip’s spread philosophies, as Oregon tends to take bigger chunks on the ground rather than through the air.  I would be shocked if Oregon doesn’t win the Pac 10 this year.

Oregon 34  ASU  20

Jimmy: Oklahoma @ Cincinnati (+14.5)

The folks at Cincy moved this game to the prime time locale of Paul Brown Stadium, an informal audition for all the NFL talent on Oklahoma’s roster that will run roughshod over the rudder-less Bearcat program.  Maybe that’s a little harsh.  Butch Jones seems like a nice guy and I hope he builds on the work that Brian Kelly did. This is his biggest stage to prove he can rise to the occasion.  I like Butch to have his team hungry and ready to take it to the Sooners.  Bob Stoops has to be perplexed how his team can whup Florida State, yet barely hang on against Utah State and Air Force at home.  Now the Jekyll and Hyde act goes on the road with the Red River Shootout looming large on the horizon of next week.  I would be shocked if Oklahoma loses this game, but they haven’t shown enough consistency to win big like this with the entire city of Cincinnati (including former resident Doug Riddell) supporting its cause.  The Bearcats play feisty, inspired ball and keep things close.

Oklahoma 38  Cincinnati 27

Matt:  Temple (+14) @ Penn State

Lots of intrigue in the state of Pennsylvania for this one.  At least among the 500 or so people that follow Temple football.  Penn State fans already had this one in the W column as soon as the schedule was released.  But Temple has already beaten last year’s 1-AA national champion Villanova, a feisty Central Michigan team that many predicted to win the MAC if Temple didn’t, and a solid UConn team out of the Big East.  In the past, those three wins would be enough to throw a parade and cancel the rest of the season.  Three games won?  Who needs to play any more…

Meanwhile, Penn State has gotten exposed at Alabama (no shame in that) and looked less than impressive on the offensive side of the ball against Kent State.  Would I be shocked if Penn State came out and just destroyed Temple as has happened the past two years?  No.  Let’s face it, not a single player on the Owls roster was recruited by Joe Pa.  But the Owls have a better coach, a better running back (Bernard Pierce, yes he’s better than Evan Royster, who apparently hasn’t gotten the memo that the 2010 season has begun), and a more experienced QB.  I think they will keep it close into the 4^th quarter and by the end of the game Nittany Lion faithful will be clamoring for the shirt and tie wearing Al Golden to be on the home sideline in Happy Valley.

Penn State 27 Temple 17

Mike:  Arizona (-6) over California

Arizona proved last Saturday that they are a legitimate contender in the Pac-10 and a top-15 team nationally.  California proved last Friday that they are a joke.  Forget the letdown angle- the Cats will roll this week in Tucson.

Arizona 49 California 24

Picks To Date:

Dan:  8-12-1

Jeremy:  12-8-1

Jimmy:  9-11-1

Matt:  11-9-1

Mike:  14-6-1

Locks of the Week:

Dan:  0-2-1

Jeremy:  1-2-0

Jimmy:  2-1-0

Matt:  1-1-0

Mike:  2-0-1

The Good, The Bad, The Ugly - Week 3 (MSU)

How many ways can the Irish break your heart? Short and sweet this week since I can’t stand to do too much reviewing of this one.

OFFENSE

The Good

Crist was great for most of the game, but he’s obviously still got some work to do. His throws on sprint outs, particularly to his left, are still a big work in progress. He’s also got some work to do on his reads and the velocity of his throws on the shorter, quick-drops (what Kelly likes to refer to as the “ball control throws”). But his touch, especially on longer throws, was greatly improved, even from the previous week. He’s going to need to carry the team for the next few weeks, and I think we can continue to expect big things from him in this offense.

Allen ran hard again, and was valuable as the safety outlet on several throws, breaking Darius Walker’s record for receptions as a RB even with a dislocated finger. Would have liked to see Kelly go to him a bit more often, especially in the 2nd half.

Welcome to the Irish offense Theo Riddick. I guess that’s what the coaches have been raving about. Floyd looked like his old self on the two TD catches and had a few other big ones throughout the course of the game. Rudolph was solid as usual.

The line, for the most part, played well, giving Crist adequate time to carve up the MSU secondary.

The Bad

Missed opportunities reared their ugly heads early and often. The Irish could have gone to the locker room with a substantial advantage on the scoreboard but squandered some key scoring chances. They also failed to close out the game in the 4th quarter after the defense made some big stops.

The offense is showing measured improvements every week. The next step is acquiring a taste for the killer instinct.

The Ugly

Turnovers were huge again. Floyd fumbles in plus territory. Crist throws a bad interception after the Irish get the ball back almost in the red zone. Crist fumbles on 4th and 1. With the Irish facing quality opponents the next week, the offense must do a better job holding onto the ball.

DEFENSE

The Good

Once again, the defense played better than the statistics might suggest. The Irish were stout against the run in the 1st half, and also late in the game. Brian Smith and Darius Fleming both made some big plays from the much-maligned OLB position at the end of regulation and in OT. The starting D-line was impressive again, and kudos to Ian Williams for becoming the disruptive force in the middle we all hoped he would be. The stat sheet might not show it, but Williams seems to have improved significantly from his freshman year to the present.

The corners also continue to play well, with Blanton causing the Cousins INT in the end zone and Gary Gray locking down his side of the field for much of the game.

The Bad

The stats look ugly because once again the Irish were the victims of too many “explosive” plays, none more explosive than Baker’s 56 yard TD to start the 2nd half. Its become painfully obvious that the Irish are going to struggle mightily if Harrison Smith and Zeke Motta continue to play every down at the safety positions. ND should see the secondary improve somewhat this weekend if Jamoris Slaughter returns as expected. The inability to play any nickel on defense is trickling down to the other positions, forcing the already-struggling OLBs to take on greater roles in pass coverage.

Slaughter’s impending return allows Motta to move back into his more comfortable nickel role and should hopefully relieve some of the pressure from guys like Neal and Fleming who haven’t been anywhere near as productive as anticipated.

The Ugly

Te’o had another good game, making some huge stops behind the line of scrimmage and (with Calabrese) snuffing out the MSU run game between the tackles in the first half.

But on a huge 3rd and 11, Sparty ran a screen that Te’o identified immediately. Though he had the MSU back dead to rights, he couldn’t make the tackle, and Sparty made a key 1st down, eventually tying the game.

The kid’s a natural – he’s probably already the best inside LB the Irish have had since the Holtz era and he’s only a sophomore. But the missed tackles have to stop.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The Good

Ruffer was great on kickoffs again, regularly putting the ball into the end zone. He also hit a clutch FG in the overtime, extending his consecutive made streak. The coverage teams were also solid.

The Bad

I gave him some praise last week, but Ben Turk has got to be more consistent with his punting. He’s done an admirable job pinning opponents inside the 20, but when the Irish have needed some great kicks out of him to change field position, he hasn’t done much.

Also, the Irish need to start getting some more out of their return teams, particularly on kickoffs. Cierre Wood looked very tentative on his returns this past week, leading to some criticism from Kelly in his Tuesday press conference.

The Ugly

I don’t think this one needs to be covered.

COACHING

The Good

I guess the gameplan was OK – the Irish knew the Spartans were vulnerable through the air and ND was able to take advantage of this clear weakness. Diaco and the defensive staff did OK for chunks of the game, stuffing the MSU running game and forcing several key 3 and outs. The statistics might not bear it out, but I do think the defense as a whole is getting better.

The Bad

Would have liked to see some more runs in the 2nd half with the lead. Its hard to give Kelly too much grief for the playcalling given the huge chunks the Irish were taking through the air. But the runs with Allen were working, and could have given the defense more of a breather on the sideline.

I’ve seen both sides of the argument on the 4th and 1 call and I still think punting was the right play given the circumstances. Of course, given that Ben Turk was having a less-than-spectacular night, and the lackluster play of the defense, I can understand the aggressive call. Kelly’s explanation (“I would have done it again – I thought we had a good play called”) smacked of Weis, which undoubtedly turned many people off.

The Ugly

They had the fake defended? Really? Why not just put a safety or two at the 1st down line if you have a sneaking suspicion a fake is coming?

BUCKEYES

Offense: THEO RIDDICK

If he continues to be this effective, the Irish offense is going to be incredibly explosive. Should be fun to watch him continue to develop.

Defense: GARY GRAY

He was pretty quiet, which must mean he had a great game. Good to see at least one of our much-heralded corners turning into a lockdown guy.

Special Teams: DAVID RUFFER

Great job on the kickoffs, the very definition of clutch in OT.

Incredibly tough matchup for the Irish coming up this week. Not many teams in the FBS have looked as dangerous as Stanford, and the Cardinal will bring an incredibly balanced attack to South Bend on Saturday. In fact, the next 3 weeks look rather ominous for the Irish, and a 1-5 start is certainly not out of the realm of possibility. Here’s hoping the offense continues to make strides and the return of Slaughter means a return to respectability on the defensive side of the ball.

Week Three Picks: Notre Dame - Michigan State

Tough loss last week Irish fans. Nothing else to say about that. Let's see if the blue and gold can't circle the wagons and pick up a W in East Lansing. Don't want to be 1-2 with Stanford coming to town next week.


Dan: Michigan State

Last week was painful. No one can deny that Denard Robinson is a talented individual. But to lose to a one man team always stings a little more, because you can’t help but question a defense that cannot key in on and slow down one player. This weekend, ND gets another nemesis in the Spartans of Michigan State. Spartan Stadium has been relatively kind to ND since the departure of Robert Montgomery Davie.

Michigan State’s defense has had its difficulties this year. It gave up over 300 yards to a miserable Florida Atlantic team and a questionable Western Michigan team. While I have not had the opportunity to watch either game, my Spartan friends have complained about a sloppy defense, poor tackling, and sluggish game play. If that continues on Saturday, the Notre Dame offense should have success. In particular, I’d like to see a larger dose of the running game. ND got away from Armando and Cierre a little bit last week, and I think keeping them as an active ingredient will open up some more passing lanes for Crist. Additionally, if Crist really can’t throw the ball to the outside with accuracy, then I’d rather not try. Keep the DBs honest with outside running plays or swing passes and keep the downfield passing game over the middle.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Michigan State Running game has looked dominant. Both running backs are averaging over NINE yards per carry. Granted, the opposition has been weak. But it is clear that the ND linebackers are going to have a long day if they cannot wrap up on first contact and slow down the run game. Cousins has been a little slow to get started, but the Spartan passing offense always comes alive against Notre Dame. Expect him to elevate his game this Saturday. The key for the ND defense in my mind will be turnovers. Michigan State turned the ball over twice against both FAU and WMU. Meanwhile, ND lost the turnover battle last week 3 – 0. If ND can win the turnover margin this week, they can win this game.

Unfortunately, I have not seen anything to believe that we will commit to the running game, win the turnover margin, or be consistent and successful in bring down runners on first contact. Our DBs have been good wrapping up wide receivers, but I’m more concerned about the Spartan running game right down the gut. Michigan State always plays Notre Dame incredibly tough, and I expect this year to be no different. Brian Kelly is only 3 weeks in, but I am afraid he may find himself facing a must win game next week against Stanford after opening up 1 – 2.

Michigan State 31 Notre Dame 27


Jeremy: Notre Dame

I can’t really put my finger on why, but I’m strangely confident about this game. The Irish are done with super-athletic running QBs (at least for a few weeks anyway), and I think the ND defense matches up much better against the straight-ahead running tendencies of this MSU offense. I do expect the Spartans to have some success in play action and perhaps even on a trick play or two, but I believe the Irish will be stout against the run and may even force Cousins to make some ill-advised throws. The news about Slaughter missing another game are a bit worrisome, but I thought Motta played admirably last week, particularly in run support. He’s going to be asked to do a bit more in pass coverage on Saturday which should have Irish fans a bit nervous.

On offense, I really do believe that ND is poised for a big breakout game soon. I don’t think its going to happen on Saturday, but with every offensive series, it appears Crist is getting more comfortable with the spread and more comfortable with his receivers. I expect that once Theo Riddick and TJ Jones grab a few more catches, their collective confidence will rise and perhaps take some of the attention off Floyd.

Look for a tight game in the 1st half as the teams feel each other out (possibly in some ugly weather), with the Irish pulling away on some long scoring drives in the 2nd half.

ND 31 MSU 23


Jimmy: Notre Dame

Like Dayne Crist's 1st half vision, things are still a little blurry this week. Chalk some of that up to a tailgate for the ages that raged late into the evening (thank you Joyce lot lights for illuminating our night bags). More specifically, the makeup of this team has yet to come into focus. Way too many questions that will begin to be answered in East Lansing. By the end of this 4 week gauntlet of quality (if not flashy) opponents, expectations should be 20/20.

Some of those lingering questions:

Is the defense auditioning for the role of Plastic Man (whenever Sam Raimi decides to adapt it)? Not allowing 2nd half points for 29:23 was a solid effort. Yet they couldn't make the pivotal stop. Shoelace could have been an aberration and they bounce back against a more pro style offense. Or they are what they are and we have to buckle in for this momentum roller coaster.

Is Crist healthy? Clearly, he needs to be on the field for any semblance of an offense.

Why is Mike Floyd the Michiana Regional Man of Mystery? I know safeties are spying him when they're not double-teaming him, but this is college football! The best players find a way to impact the game. He has yet to play like the unstoppable force he was touted to be for two games now.

Will the lack of dependable safety play force the CBs to give up the 5-7 underneath route all season? They have to be able to play more bump knowing they have some backside help.

Are Duval Kamara and Theo Riddick still dressing on offense? Bravo on the Copperfield vanishing acts.

Will Brian Kelly continue to make head scratching decisions? Granted, the FG before half had much to do with Crist's availability to play, but running the flea-flicker with your back was questionable at best and the use of timeouts on UM's final drive should have been managed better. We're two games into viewing Brian Kelly under the microscope and still learning what his strengths and weaknesses are. I hope the lens doesn't magnify the latter too quickly.

Which brings us to tomorrow night. East Lansing isn't a fun place to play, especially under the lights. And history doesn’t exactly have Notre Dame’s back, losing 9 of the last 14 contests. Kirk Cousins joins the list of capable but not outstanding MSU signal-callers. He hasn't exactly been tested by Western Michigan or Florida Atlantic as the Spartans have opted to dominate on the ground. Suffice it to say, I don't envision Cousins pulling a Denard and racking up infinite yards of total offense. But the Spartans WR corps have had success finding ways to get open and will certainly take advantage of soft coverage. If the Spartans focus on the ground game, I like the challenge for our run defense as foreshadowing for matchups with run-centric BC and Pitt. But Sparty has beaten us through the air before and I expect them to try to do so again.

On the other side of the ball, Greg Jones will wreak havoc thwarting ND’s rushing attack, but the offense should still put up some points through the air (with #10 behind center all game). Special teams will be crucial as that has unequivocally been an improved unit so far. I’m queasy about heading into Stanford (the best opponent of the next four weeks) 1-2. Kelly needs to build momentum to have a shot against Harbaugh. Call me naively optimistic, but the Irish will do just enough to escape with a W.

Notre Dame 27 Michigan State 25


Matt: Michigan State

I really want to pick ND here. I do. I think Brian Kelly will eventually get this program headed back to national prominence. The recruiting this week has been awesome despite a heartbreaking loss.

But I was in the stadium last week and as soon as Kyle Rudolph crossed the goal line and I looked up at the clock, I knew that no matter how loud I yelled, how hard we blitzed or any other factor, Notre Dame was losing that game. You probably had that feeling too. We’ve seen it all unfold too many times.

The aftermath was predictable, with every talking head praising Denard Robinson and anointing him as the Heisman frontrunner. And of course along with that came the inevitable “Michigan is back” stories and even some proclamations that Blue will factor into the Big Ten race. And I couldn’t help but be brought back to the Georgia Tech game in 2007 when Tashard Choice carved up the Irish defense to the tune of 197 yards in a colossal blowout win. And every Irish fan afterwards kind of brushed aside the horrific performance by ND by praising Georgia Tech (“John Tenuta blitzed us from every angle – wouldn’t it be great if he could do that for our defense”) and lofting praise on Choice as if he was the second coming of Adrian Peterson. Of course, we all know how it turned out – GT was an average ACC team that plenty of teams had no problem in stopping their run and their blitzes. Don’t you deep down, no matter how spectacular Robinson was/is, get the feeling that plenty of Big Ten teams will stop the one dimensional Michigan offense, and the Wolverines will end up a 7-5 / 8-4 type team. Why couldn’t ND stop them? At home no less.

As you can tell, I am not over the Michigan loss, and I haven’t really even begun to look into the matchups for this week. What it comes down to is I have no reason to believe yet in this team. The best player on the team can’t get the ball in his hands, the defense is still shaky at best – a bend but sometimes break if you will – and the QB situation appears to be on a 1-AA level if Crist goes down again. So no, I don’t see ND going into its house of horrors in East Lansing in front of a rapid, intoxicated nighttime crowd and pulling out a W. I hope I’m wrong.

MSU 28 ND 24


Mike: Michigan State

I won’t spend much time rehashing last week’s disaster because it’s simply too painful. Simply put, there was no excuse for losing to an inferior Michigan team at home in that manner, regardless of Crist’s injury. It is far too early into the Kelly era to begin drawing conclusions about whether he will succeed, but last week was certainly not encouraging. At 1-1 with a tough Stanford team on deck, this is a critical week for Kelly and the Irish. As usual, a night game at Spartan Stadium will be no picnic.

Notre Dame on Offense: Assuming that Crist is healthy, the Irish should be able to move the ball effectively against Michigan State. The key for Crist, who seems to be improving each week, is to play more consistently. Likewise, Notre Dame’s offensive line needs to be more consistent for the Irish offense to reach its full potential. The Spartans have an excellent group of linebackers, but their secondary is inexperienced and their front four is suspect. Accordingly, ND has an excellent opportunity to put up large numbers on offense.

Notre Dame on Defense: Where do we begin? Michigan State boasts a dynamic one-two punch at tailback with sophomore Edwin Baker and true freshman Le’Veon Bell (think Jason Teague and Javon Ringer, part two). In addition, the Spartans have a solid veteran quarterback in Kirk Cousins, who has several talented receivers at his disposal: Keshawn Martin, Mark Dell and B.J. Cunningham. After a promising debut against Purdue, Bob Diaco’s defense was carved up like a Thanksgiving turkey by Denard Robinson last week, so there is plenty of cause for concern. This is a bad matchup for ND, which figures to surrender a healthy chunk of yardage on the ground and through the air. Hopefully, the Irish can force a turnover or two to help stem the tide.

Special Teams: The Irish have been solid on special teams thus far and it must continue against the explosive Keshawn Martin. A long kickoff or punt return, particularly early, would whip the Spartan faithful into a frenzy and make life very difficult for Notre Dame.

Coaching/Intangibles: Based upon the first two weeks and Kelly’s resume, I don’t have any worries about Notre Dame’s motivation level. Of course, there is no doubt that the Spartans will be equally up to the task, as always. Given Notre Dame’s defensive shortcomings, there will be an enormous amount of pressure on Crist and the ND offense to score points. As with last week, the Irish will have their moments, but they will also make more mistakes, which spells doom on the road against a talented and motivated foe.

Michigan State 35 Notre Dame 31

WeIs Roundtable Week 3 Picks: Licking Our Shoelace Wounds Edition

No pretense. Just picks. Here ya go.

Arkansas (+3) @ Georgia

Dan: Georgia (-3)

Ryan Mallett and Bobby Petrino have the Razorback offense humming. But having lost six straight to the Bulldogs, a trip to Athens will prove a tougher test than the early season competition. I have been a long time defender of Mark Richt and his program at Georgia, despite the recent rumblings. But they haven’t played in an SEC championship game since 2005 and have lost six of the last eight against top 25 opponents, including three straight at home. However, after losing their SEC opener to USC, this is much more of a “must win” for Georgia. Throw in the injury to Dennis Johnson, Arkansas’s key running back and return man and that the Razorback defense does not have the tenacity of the Gamecocks, and I like the Bulldogs to pull a close cover at home.

UGA 28 Arkansas 24

Jeremy: Georgia (-3)

Interesting game. The winds of discontent are starting to swirl around Athens, and another disappointing year could make Mark Richt’s seat extremely hot. A little surprised to see the Dawgs favored here, but I do think they pull out a big win. Arkansas has looked impressive thus far, but hasn’t played anyone yet and Ryan Mallett is almost sure to make a few bad decisions with the Georgia faithful in his ear.

Georgia 24 Arkansas 20

Jimmy: Arkansas (+3)

Attending back-to-back nail in the coffin Twins triumphs over the Sox didn’t give me a chance to jot down any extended thoughts for this week’s slate. (Don’t look now, but Minnesota is only 0.5 games behind the Yankees for home field advantage throughout October! Let’s go Twins!!) Rapid fire picks from me, with a comment here and there.

So maybe the Razorbacks are one of the most overrated teams in the country, wrestling the title away from Georgia, who has held a vice grip on that ignominious title for a number of years. Ryan Mallett sees what’s going on at his former school, Michigan, and wants in on the Heisman race.

Arkansas 23 Georgia 20

Matt: Georgia (-3)

Is this the year where it all finally goes south for Georgia? AJ Green is suspended, QB Aaron Murray is young and inexperienced, and the rest of the offense has been miserable so far, with highly touted Washaun Ealey averaging less than 4 yards a carry in his only game of action. All signs are pointing towards the Hogs walking in between the hedges and knocking off the Dawgs.

As the noted wordsmith Lee Corso says…”somebody knows something, and I’m going with the somebodies.” (You thought I was going to say “not so fast my friend,” didn’t you?) The somebodies in Vegas have installed the reeling Dawgs as three point favorites, and I am not ready to bury them just yet. It seems like the popular opinion is that the Arkansas will be the team that scares Bama this year in the West, but I’m not buying it yet. This is a team that went 3-5 in the SEC last year. Sure they have Ryan Mallett, but I have to see more out of than just two drubbings of Tennessee Tech and ULM before I can predict they will leave Athens with a win. UGA saves the season with a big home win.

Georgia 27 Arkansas 23

Mike: Georgia (-3)

Despite its low point total last week, Georgia showed some positive signs on offense and I expect continued improvement this week for Aaron Murray and company against a suspect Razorback defense that offered little resistance to the Bulldogs in last year’s matchup. Moreover, with Alabama looming on the horizon, this is a potential trap game for Arkansas. The Razorbacks figure to be a contender in the SEC West this year, but they don’t have enough talent to survive on the road against a quality opponent. This one should be entertaining.

Georgia 35 Arkansas 31

Iowa (-1.5) @ Arizona

Dan: Iowa (-1.5)

I have to admit, I am perplexed by this line. In fact, I was all set to take this as my lock of the week. Ricky Stanzi has the Iowa offense looking good and their 11^th ranked defense from last year returned 8 starters. Last year in Iowa City, the Hawkeyes cruised to a relatively comfortable 27-17 victory. But then Chad Millman’s “The System” article of the week sided with ‘Zona for various reasons, including Iowa’s lack of a win west of the Rockies since 1987 as well as their long travel after an emotional rivalry victory. Yet, the Wildcats haven’t beaten a BCS non-conference team in over a decade, and really seem to be overmatched on both sides of the ball. While Chad has been good to me so far this year, I’m going to have to stay with the Hawkeyes for this one.

Iowa 24 Arizona 17

Jeremy: Iowa (-1.5) – LOCK OF THE WEEK

I’d really like to pick the upset here because I think Iowa is overrated. But they’re clearly better than Arizona in almost every facet of the game. Absent a Ricky Stanzi injury, I just can’t see any way that the Wildcats pull off the shocker here. This game could get ugly in the 2^nd half if Arizona doesn’t watch out.

Iowa 27 Arizona 17

Jimmy: Iowa (-1.5) LOCK OF THE WEEK

Very high on the Hawkeyes right now. Expecting a big game from TE Allen Reisner, a fantasy pickup this week. Go to your big target Stanzi. While we’re name-dropping Hawkeyes, can’t not mention a name game hall of famer, one Marvin McNutt.

Iowa 21 Arizona 16

Matt: Iowa (-1.5) LOCK OF THE WEEK

I’ll admit it – I know next to nothing about Arizona. They’re never on tv, they never seem to be particularly relevant, and if they are playing a big game you can usually pencil them in for a loss. This years edition appears to have a potent offense, but the impressive stats of Nick Foles have to be taken with a grain of salt because they came against Toledo and the Citadel. The defense is giving up only 4 points a game, leaving the Wildcat faithful dreaming of the Desert Storm defense of yesteryear. (Are there any Arizona football “faithful”, or are they too busy partying and talking about the glory days of Lute Olson, Miles Simon and Mike Bibby?)

I’ve seen enough of Iowa and Ricky Stanzi over the years to know that they’ll play solid defense t hat will more than likely bail out a Stanzi turnover or two. Look for them to squeak out a road win that will look less impressive as the season goes on.

Iowa 31 Arizona 27

Mike: Arizona (+1.5) LOCK OF THE WEEK

I am really high on Arizona this year. To be sure, the Wildcats have several areas of concern, particularly at linebacker, but they are loaded with offensive talent. On the contrary, while the Hawkeyes looked impressive in their win over rival Iowa State last week, they don’t appear to have the firepower to hang with a team like Arizona on the road. Iowa will hang tough, but Arizona will prevail.

Arizona 27 Iowa 20

Nebraska (-4) @ Washington

Dan: Washington (+4)

There is nothing more comforting to a road game than the ability to run the football. I expect the Huskers to keep the pace of the game slow, pound the football against a week Husky defense allowing four yards a carry so far this year. On the other side of the ball, Washington has shown the panache to pull off major upsets in the past. I expect a mildly low scoring game, with maybe one or two big plays by Locker to keep it close enough for the cover, but come up short of the upset.

Nebraska 20 Washington 17

Jeremy: Nebraska (-4)

Not much confidence in the ‘dogs this week. Jake Locker hasn’t seemed like a Heisman candidate or top draft pick so far this year. I’m thinking Bo Pellini will find a way to neutralize him a bit and the Huskers roll behind a rejuvenated offense.

Nebraska 31 Washington 17

Jimmy: Nebraska (-4)

I believe in the Blackshirt renaissance. Taylor Martinez might be following in the footsteps of Tommie Frazier, Eric Crouch and Scott Frost. Go Huskers.

Nebraska 30 Washington 24

Matt: Nebraska (-4)

Are the Blackshirts back? It certainly appears so, and this will be a good road test for the Big Red. Jake Locker has put up solid numbers, although he has not been running nearly as much this year, totaling just 40 yards in their first two games. On the other side of the ball, the Huskers have found their QB of the future in Taylor Martinez, who is averaging an unbelievable 13.5 yards per carry. Nebraska is back to being your father’s Nebraska, 3^rd in the nation in rushing with Roy Helu doing damage out of the backfield.

I don’t think the UDub defense can slow down the Huskers rushing attack, and Nebraska will win comfortably. It will be interesting to see how Locker looks against a top flight defenses. I have not been bowled over by him in the times I have seen him, and am still skeptical of his lofty draft status.

Nebraska 38 Washington 21

Mike: Nebraska (-4)

Although I believe that Nebraska is a tad overrated, I think Washington is extremely overrated. The Huskies beat up on a bad Syracuse team at home, but they also looked bad in a loss at BYU, which appears to be in a rebuilding mode. Meanwhile, the emergence of Taylor Martinez has given Nebraska a more competent offense to complement its stingy Blackshirt defense. The Huskers’ offense will control the clock and their defense will slow down Jake Locker enough for a solid road win.

Nebraska 33 Washington 24

Clemson (+6) @ Auburn

Dan: Auburn (-6) LOCK OF THE WEEK

Cameron Newton is the real deal. I watched a decent amount of the Auburn game last week, and despite going on the road into a tough venue, making several mistakes, they were still able to come away with the win and cover. The ACC has been embarrassed so far this year, particularly on the road and Clemson has a history of coming up short. Clemson’s strong defensive line will cause some troubles for Auburn, particularly with starting LT Ziemba out with an injury, but Newton’s mobility will be able to counter this disadvantage. If one of the Auburn running backs (possibly speedy freshman Michael Dyer if he can improve his vision and continue to adjust to the college game), can step up in support with a big break-away run or two, look for a mini-rout by the Tigers.

Auburn 34 Clemson 17

Jeremy: Clemson (+6)

Not too thrilled about taking Clemson here. I think Auburn is poised for an explosion, but they might be a week or two away. I really have no justification for this pick, other than the ugly game Auburn played against Mississippi St. last week.

Auburn 17 Clemson 13

Jimmy: Auburn (-6)

Three words suffice: War Damn Eagle

Auburn 34 Clemson 26

Matt: Auburn (-6)

Clemson, welcome to the 2010 season! After beating up on North Texas and Presbyterian, the Tigers go on the road to face an Auburn team that squeaked out a road win over Miss State last week. As resident SEC expert Philip told me this week, any road win in the SEC is a good win. The offense wasn’t spectacular, but the defense looked dominant. I think they will be able to shut down a Clemson offense under Kyle Parker that so long has relied on the big plays.

Auburn 27 Clemson 13

Mike: Clemson (+6)

Auburn definitely appears to have found itself a quarterback with Cameron Newton, who clearly possesses elite athletic ability. With Newton at the helm and Gus Malzahn calling plays, the Tigers should be able to score plenty of points this year, even in the SEC. Despite not having played anyone of note yet, Clemson is my favorite to win the ACC Atlantic Division, as the Tigers have a talented veteran quarterback, two explosive running backs and a solid front four on defense. These two teams seem to be evenly matched, but the home field edge, as usual, will be the difference.

Auburn 28 Clemson 24

Texas (-3.5) @ Texas Tech

Dan: Texas (-3.5)

Two years ago when the Longhorns visited Lubbock, we were treated to one of the most exciting college football games ever. Unfortunately, Crabtree, McCoy, and Shipley have moved on. This year, Texas seems to match up very well against the Red Raiders. Their secondary is one of the best in the country, and their aggressive defensive line should be able to put Taylor Potts on the ground. I know the Longhorn offense has struggled out of the gate, but they have a defense they can rely on while their ground game builds up momentum. I think Texas does find some offense success this week and gives Tommy a sore welcoming to the Big 12.

Texas 31 Texas Tech 21

Jeremy: Texas (-3.5)

Another high-powered offense that seems stuck in neutral. They haven’t really been tested yet, so I’m willing to give Gilbert and Co. the benefit of the doubt. But they’re going into a hostile Lubbock atmosphere where Texas hasn’t had much success lately. Plus, Tuberville appears to have introduced some defense to the Red Raiders. This game is not as high-scoring as some might predict, but Texas pulls out a big win on the road, exorcising some of those demons from 2008.

Texas 27 Texas Tech 21

Jimmy: Texas (-3.5)

Texas defense wins this game more than their offense.

Texas 24 Texas Tech 10

Matt: Texas (-3.5)

Tommy Tuberville has for the most part kept the pass happy attack of Mike Leach, with Taylor Potts having slung the ball 87 times in two games. However, there is cause for concern, as the rushing game has been anemic, ranking 93^rd in the country despite playing SMU and New Mexico. Starting running back Baron Batch is averaging only 3.4 YPC. Not good. Look for Will Muschamp to dial up the pressure on Potts and force turnovers.

As for Texas, I am not sold that this is the typical dominant Mack Brown team. The offense has yet to start pumping on all cylinders under Garrett Gilbert, and there is always the possibility when you go to Lubbock that you might find yourself in a shootout. Texas has to keep the Red Raiders off the scoreboard early, and I think they will.

Texas 34 Texas Tech 20

Mike: Texas Tech (+3.5)

While the season is still young, it seems clear that Texas will be down a notch this year. The Longhorns have been rather pedestrian in their first two games against Wyoming and Rice and, despite an avowed commitment to the run, they still have a revolving door situation at tailback with no clear frontrunner. On the other hand, Texas Tech appears to be improved on defense under Tommy Tuberville and the Red Raider offense has not skipped a beat. Given Tuberville’s track record in big games, I feel pretty comfortable siding with the Red Raiders in this one.

Texas Tech 28 Texas 24

Bonus Picks

Dan: Mississippi State (+8) @ LSU

I don’t see how LSU has the offense to beat any SEC team by more than a touchdown. Jordan Jefferson continues to be unimpressive, and the Bulldog defense has shown they can put together a good defensive performance. Expect a low scoring game that should make for an easy cover, even though LSU should still win the game at home.

LSU 14 Mississippi State 10

Jeremy: BYU (+9.5)

LOTS of points for an FSU team that looked extremely mediocre last week in their loss to the Sooners. I don’t expect the Cougs to roll into the Doak and pull off a shocker (especially not with a freshman QB at the helm), but I do expect this game to be close into the 4^th quarter, with a late Seminole TD allowing FSU to pull away.

FSU 31 BYU 23

Jimmy: BYU (+9.5) @ Florida State

Bounce back game for Jimbo & Co., but that’s a lot of points to lay against a frisky Cougars squad. Play this one in Provo and I like BYU to win outright. Quick did you know about BYU coach Bronco Mendenhall: Bronco has three children--Raeder-Steel, Breaker, and Cutter. Those kids were destined to become middle linebackers at BYU some day. I’m assuming they’re all boys…

FSU 31 BYU 27

WeIs Unofficial James Rodgers Heisman Candidacy Update: James rested up with the Beavers on an early bye week. They welcome the Louisville Cardinals to Corvallis this weekend. Kudos to the Oregon State athletic dept. and coaching staff for having the marbles to schedule TCU, Louisville and Boise State for their non-conference slate. A model that should be emulated by every BCS conference.

Matt: Wake Forest (+17) @ Stanford

College football fans, don’t go to bed early this Saturday. The #1 team in the ACC is traveling west to take on the # 1 team in the PAC 10 for a late night 11:15 EST kickoff in Palo Alto. While the ACC teams were tripping all over themselves last week, Wake Forest was busy picking up a conference win over Duke while lighting up the scoreboard to the tune of 54 points. Ok, so it was Duke, but so far Jim Grobe’s option offense has been dynamite, ranking 4^th in the country in rushing offense.

Stanford completely destroyed a lifeless UCLA team (start updating that resume Rick Neuheisel), and Stanford is no doubt looking ahead to their big game next weekend in South Bend. Can I dare to dream that the Deacons pull out a huge road win? They did beat Stanford last year in Winston…

No. Andrew Luck is too good, and Wake is outmatched on both lines of scrimmage. But, I think they pull out a cover. This game will prove a cure to Irish fans who are crying into their beers.

Stanford 38 Wake Forest 28

Mike: Maryland @ West Virginia (-11)

West Virginia played poorly for about 55 minutes last week in Huntington before eventually launching a furious rally to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. Obviously, the Mountaineers would have preferred a much better performance, but they deserve credit for playing with great poise in an extremely hostile environment. The comeback road win should be a big confidence booster to sophomore QB Eugene Smith, who was tremendous in the 4th quarter against Marshall. As for Maryland, the Terrapins were extremely fortunate to defeat Navy, as the Midshipmen uncharacteristically committed multiple turnovers deep in Maryland territory. In the process, however, the Terps were exposed as a team that appears to have one of the worst passing games among the “Big Six” conferences. West Virginia will grab an early lead, thus forcing Maryland to play from behind, which is a recipe for disaster.

West Virginia 41 Maryland 14